Permanent URL to this publication: http://dx.doi.org/10.5167/uzh-51956
Schenk-Hoppé, Klaus Reiner (2001). Economic Growth and Business Cycles: A Critical Comment on Detrending Time Series - REVISED VERSIO. Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics No. 54, University of Zurich.
In this paper we pursue an approach based on economic theory to illustrate possible shortcomings of widely-used detrending methods. Wenanalyze a simple model of economic growth and business cycles in which investment and technical progress are stochastic. The Hodrick-Prescottnand the Baxter-King filter are shown to detect spurious business cycles which are not related to actual cycles in the model. Our results cast doubts on the validity of commonly-accepted stylized business cycle facts. We also discuss the relation of business-cycle dating based on indicators of economic activity, as e.g. applied by the NBER, and the detrending results.
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|Item Type:||Working Paper|
|Communities & Collections:||03 Faculty of Economics > Department of Economics
Working Paper Series > Institute for Empirical Research in Economics (former)
|Dewey Decimal Classification:||330 Economics|
|Deposited On:||29 Nov 2011 21:26|
|Last Modified:||09 Jul 2012 05:01|
|Series Name:||Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics|
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