Permanent URL to this publication: http://dx.doi.org/10.5167/uzh-52316
Galsb, Victoria; Hoffmann, Mathias (2008). Heterogeneous Expectations, International Consumption Correlations, and Common Risk Factors in World Stock Markets. Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics No. 362, University of Zurich.
This paper establishes a surprising and robust empirical similarity between short-run heterogeneous consumption and long-term consumption growth risk models. The models not only deliver a similar fit on a given set of portfolios, their actual pricing errors are also highly correlated. In addition, we find that consumption dispersion is a robust predictor of the transitory component in aggregate consumption growth. To interpret these findings, we propose a model in which aggregate uncertainty is a function of idiosyncratic uncertainty and only long-term consumption growth risknis priced. An implication of this being that consumption dispersion is priced empirically not because markets are necessarily incomplete but because investors disagree in the short-run about theirncommon long-term consumption prospects.
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|Item Type:||Working Paper|
|Communities & Collections:||03 Faculty of Economics > Department of Economics
Working Paper Series > Institute for Empirical Research in Economics (former)
|Dewey Decimal Classification:||330 Economics|
|Deposited On:||29 Nov 2011 22:47|
|Last Modified:||09 Jul 2012 05:03|
|Series Name:||Working paper series / Institute for Empirical Research in Economics|
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