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Validation of an interactive map assessing the potential spread of Galba truncatula as intermediate host of Fasciola hepatica in Switzerland


Baggenstos, Rhea; Dahinden, Tobias; Torgerson, Paul R; Bär, Hansruedi; Rapsch, Christina; Knubben-Schweizer, Gabriela (2016). Validation of an interactive map assessing the potential spread of Galba truncatula as intermediate host of Fasciola hepatica in Switzerland. Geospatial Health, 11(2):137-143.

Abstract

Bovine fasciolosis, caused by Fasciola hepatica, is widespread in Switzerland. The risk regions were modelled in 2008 by an interactive map, showing the monthly potential risk of transmission of F. hepatica in Switzerland. As this map is based on a mathematical model, the aim of the present study was to evaluate the interactive map by means of a field survey taking different data sources into account. It was found that the interactive map has a sensitivity of 40.7-88.9%, a specificity of 11.4-18.8%, a positive predictive value of 26.7-51.4%, and a negative predictive value of 13.1-83.6%, depending on the source of the data. In conclusion, the grid of the interactive map (100 x 100 m) does not
reflect enough detail and the underlying model of the interactive map is lacking transmission data.

Abstract

Bovine fasciolosis, caused by Fasciola hepatica, is widespread in Switzerland. The risk regions were modelled in 2008 by an interactive map, showing the monthly potential risk of transmission of F. hepatica in Switzerland. As this map is based on a mathematical model, the aim of the present study was to evaluate the interactive map by means of a field survey taking different data sources into account. It was found that the interactive map has a sensitivity of 40.7-88.9%, a specificity of 11.4-18.8%, a positive predictive value of 26.7-51.4%, and a negative predictive value of 13.1-83.6%, depending on the source of the data. In conclusion, the grid of the interactive map (100 x 100 m) does not
reflect enough detail and the underlying model of the interactive map is lacking transmission data.

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Additional indexing

Item Type:Journal Article, refereed, original work
Communities & Collections:05 Vetsuisse Faculty > Veterinary Clinic > Department of Farm Animals
05 Vetsuisse Faculty > Chair in Veterinary Epidemiology
Dewey Decimal Classification:570 Life sciences; biology
610 Medicine & health
Language:English
Date:31 May 2016
Deposited On:07 Jun 2016 08:23
Last Modified:08 Jun 2016 15:53
Publisher:PAGEpress
ISSN:1827-1987
Free access at:Publisher DOI. An embargo period may apply.
Publisher DOI:https://doi.org/10.4081/gh.2016.418
Official URL:http://www.geospatialhealth.net/index.php/gh/article/view/418

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Language: English
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Licence: Creative Commons: Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0)

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