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The Impact of Cointegration on Commodity Spread Options


Farkas, Walter; Gourier, Elise; Huitema, Robert; Necula, Ciprian (2016). The Impact of Cointegration on Commodity Spread Options. In: Glau, Kathrin; Grbac, Zorana; Scherer, Matthias; Zagst, Rudi. Innovations in Derivatives Markets. Cham: Springer, 421-435.

Abstract

In this work we explore the implications of cointegration in a system of commodity prices on the premiums of options written on various spreads on the futures prices of these commodities. We employ a parsimonious, yet comprehensive model for cointegration in a system of commodity prices. The model has an exponential affine structure and is flexible enough to allow for an arbitrary number of cointegration relationships. We conduct an extensive simulation study on pricing spread options. We argue that cointegration creates an upward sloping term structure of correlation, that in turn lowers the volatility of spreads and consequently the price of options on them.

Abstract

In this work we explore the implications of cointegration in a system of commodity prices on the premiums of options written on various spreads on the futures prices of these commodities. We employ a parsimonious, yet comprehensive model for cointegration in a system of commodity prices. The model has an exponential affine structure and is flexible enough to allow for an arbitrary number of cointegration relationships. We conduct an extensive simulation study on pricing spread options. We argue that cointegration creates an upward sloping term structure of correlation, that in turn lowers the volatility of spreads and consequently the price of options on them.

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Additional indexing

Item Type:Book Section, refereed, original work
Communities & Collections:03 Faculty of Economics > Department of Banking and Finance
Dewey Decimal Classification:330 Economics
Language:English
Date:2016
Deposited On:18 Jan 2017 14:16
Last Modified:18 Jan 2017 14:17
Publisher:Springer
Number:165
ISBN:978-3-319-33445-5
Free access at:Publisher DOI. An embargo period may apply.
Publisher DOI:https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-33446-2
Other Identification Number:merlin-id:14481

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