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Weighting parties and coalitions : how coalition signals influence voting behavior


Gschwend, Thomas; Meffert, Michael F; Stoetzer, Lukas F (2017). Weighting parties and coalitions : how coalition signals influence voting behavior. The Journal of Politics, 79(2):642-655.

Abstract

Democratic accountability is characterized as weak in parliamentary systems where voters cannot choose their government directly. We argue that coalition signals about desirable and undesirable coalitions that might be formed after the election help to provide this essential aspect of democratic government. We propose a simple model that identifies the effect of coalition signals on individual vote decisions. Based on survey experiments in two different countries we show how coalition signals change the relative weight of voters’ party and coalition considerations. Coalition signals increase the importance of coalition considerations and, at the same time, decrease the importance of party considerations in voters’ decision calculus, leading some voters to change their vote intention.

Abstract

Democratic accountability is characterized as weak in parliamentary systems where voters cannot choose their government directly. We argue that coalition signals about desirable and undesirable coalitions that might be formed after the election help to provide this essential aspect of democratic government. We propose a simple model that identifies the effect of coalition signals on individual vote decisions. Based on survey experiments in two different countries we show how coalition signals change the relative weight of voters’ party and coalition considerations. Coalition signals increase the importance of coalition considerations and, at the same time, decrease the importance of party considerations in voters’ decision calculus, leading some voters to change their vote intention.

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Additional indexing

Item Type:Journal Article, refereed, original work
Communities & Collections:06 Faculty of Arts > Institute of Political Science
Dewey Decimal Classification:320 Political science
Uncontrolled Keywords:voting behavior, coalition signals, coalition government, accountability
Language:English
Date:April 2017
Deposited On:14 Dec 2017 12:44
Last Modified:19 Feb 2018 09:35
Publisher:University of Chicago Press
ISSN:0022-3816
OA Status:Green
Publisher DOI:https://doi.org/10.1086/688678
Official URL:http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/pdfplus/10.1086/688678

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