Publication: Predicting network events to assess goodness of fit of relational event models
Predicting network events to assess goodness of fit of relational event models
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Brandenberger, L. (2019). Predicting network events to assess goodness of fit of relational event models. Political Analysis, 27, 556–571. https://doi.org/10.1017/pan.2019.10
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Relational event models are becoming increasingly popular in modeling temporal dynamics of social networks. Due to their nature of combining survival analysis with network model terms, standard methods of assessing model fit are not suitable to determine if the models are specified sufficiently to prevent biased estimates. This paper tackles this problem by presenting a simple procedure for model-based simulations of relational events. Predictions are made based on survival probabilities and can be used to simulate new event sequences
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Citations
Brandenberger, L. (2019). Predicting network events to assess goodness of fit of relational event models. Political Analysis, 27, 556–571. https://doi.org/10.1017/pan.2019.10