Publication: Density and Risk Prediction with Non-Gaussian COMFORT Models
Density and Risk Prediction with Non-Gaussian COMFORT Models
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Paolella, M. S., & Polak, P. (2023). Density and Risk Prediction with Non-Gaussian COMFORT Models. Annals of Financial Economics, 18(01), 2250033. https://doi.org/10.1142/s2010495222500336
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The CCC-GARCH model, and its dynamic correlation extensions, form the most important model class for multivariate asset returns. For multivariate density and portfolio risk forecasting, a drawback of these models is the underlying assumption of Gaussianity. This paper considers the so-called COMFORT model class, which is the CCC-GARCH model but endowed with multivariate generalized hyperbolic innovations. The novelty of the model is that parameter estimation is conducted by joint maximum likelihood, of all model parameters, using an E
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Paolella, M. S., & Polak, P. (2023). Density and Risk Prediction with Non-Gaussian COMFORT Models. Annals of Financial Economics, 18(01), 2250033. https://doi.org/10.1142/s2010495222500336