Future Climate Change and Its Impact on Runoff Generation from the Debris-Covered Inylchek Glaciers, Central Tian Shan, Kyrgyzstan

Hagg, Wilfried; Mayr, Elisabeth; Mannig, Birgit; Reyers, Mark; Schubert, David; Pinto, Joaquim G; Peters, Juliane; Pieczonka, Tino; Juen, Martin; Bolch, Tobias; Paeth, Heiko; Mayer, Christoph

doi:10.5167/uzh-160117

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Hagg, W., Mayr, E., Mannig, B., Reyers, M., Schubert, D., Pinto, J. G., Peters, J., Pieczonka, T., Juen, M., Bolch, T., Paeth, H., & Mayer, C. (2018). Future Climate Change and Its Impact on Runoff Generation from the Debris-Covered Inylchek Glaciers, Central Tian Shan, Kyrgyzstan. Water, 10, 1513. https://doi.org/10.3390/w10111513

Abstract

The heavily debris-covered Inylchek glaciers in the central Tian Shan are the largest glacier system in the Tarim catchment. It is assumed that almost 50% of the discharge of Tarim River are provided by glaciers. For this reason, climatic changes, and thus changes in glacier mass balance and glacier discharge are of high impact for the whole region. In this study, a conceptual hydrological model able to incorporate discharge from debris-covered glacier areas is presented. To simulate glacier melt and subsequent runoff in the past (197