Publication: Risk and Rationality: The Effect of Incidental Mood on Probability Weighting
Risk and Rationality: The Effect of Incidental Mood on Probability Weighting
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Fehr-Duda, H., Epper, T., Bruhin, A., & Schubert, R. (2007). Risk and Rationality: The Effect of Incidental Mood on Probability Weighting (No. 703; Working Paper Series / Socioeconomic Institute).
Abstract
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Abstract
When valuing risky prospects, people tend to overweight small probabilities and to underweight large probabilities. Nonlinear probability weighting has proven to be a robust empirical phenomenon and has been integrated in decision models, such as cumulative prospect theory. Based on a laboratory experiment with real monetary incentives, we show that incidental emotional states, such as preexisting good mood, have a significant effect on the shape of the probability weighting function, albeit only for women. Women in a better than norm
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Citations
Fehr-Duda, H., Epper, T., Bruhin, A., & Schubert, R. (2007). Risk and Rationality: The Effect of Incidental Mood on Probability Weighting (No. 703; Working Paper Series / Socioeconomic Institute).