Publication: Sustainability and risk in real estate investments: combining monte carlo simulation and dcf
Sustainability and risk in real estate investments: combining monte carlo simulation and dcf
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Meins, E., & Sager, D. (2013). Sustainability and risk in real estate investments: combining monte carlo simulation and dcf (01/13; CCRS Working Paper Series). http://www.ccrs.uzh.ch/publikationen/workingpapers.html
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This paper identifies the relative contribution of sustainability criteria to property value risk. We use a discounted cash flow (DCF) model to assess the effect of a given set of 42 sustainability sub-indicators on property value. The anticipated demand for each sustainability sub-indicator is described by four future states of nature. Their impact on costs and/or revenue is estimated and included in the model. Subjective probability distributions describe the occurrence of the future states of nature. Monte Carlo simulations of the
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Meins, E., & Sager, D. (2013). Sustainability and risk in real estate investments: combining monte carlo simulation and dcf (01/13; CCRS Working Paper Series). http://www.ccrs.uzh.ch/publikationen/workingpapers.html