Publication: Outcome effects, moral luck and the hindsight bias
Outcome effects, moral luck and the hindsight bias
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Kneer, M., & Skoczen, I. (2022). Outcome effects, moral luck and the hindsight bias. Cognition, 232, 105258. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2022.105258
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In a series of ten preregistered experiments (N=2043), we investigate the effect of outcome valence on judgments of probability, negligence, and culpability – a phenomenon sometimes labelled moral (and legal) luck. We found that harmful outcomes, when contrasted with neutral outcomes, lead to increased perceived probability of harm ex post, and consequently to increased attribution of negligence and culpability. Rather than simply postulating a hindsight bias (as is common), we employ a variety of empirical means to demonstrate that t
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Kneer, M., & Skoczen, I. (2022). Outcome effects, moral luck and the hindsight bias. Cognition, 232, 105258. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2022.105258
