Publication: Help for the heartland? The employment and electoral effects of the Trump tariffs in the United States
Help for the heartland? The employment and electoral effects of the Trump tariffs in the United States
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Autor, D., Beck, A., Dorn, D., & Hanson, G. (2023). Help for the heartland? The employment and electoral effects of the Trump tariffs in the United States (No. 18202; CEPR Discussion Papers). https://cepr.org/publications/dp18202
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We study the economic and political consequences of the 2018-2019 trade war between the United States, China and other U.S. trade partners at the detailed geographic level, exploiting measures of local exposure to U.S. import tariffs, foreign retaliatory tariffs, and U.S. compensation programs. So far, the trade-war has not provided economic help to the U.S. heartland: import tariffs on foreign goods neither raised nor lowered U.S. employment in newly-protected sectors; retaliatory tariffs had clear negative employment impacts, primar
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Autor, D., Beck, A., Dorn, D., & Hanson, G. (2023). Help for the heartland? The employment and electoral effects of the Trump tariffs in the United States (No. 18202; CEPR Discussion Papers). https://cepr.org/publications/dp18202
