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‘Modernize and Die’? German Social Democracy and the electoral Consequences of the Agenda 2010


Schwander, Hanna; Manow, Philip (2017). ‘Modernize and Die’? German Social Democracy and the electoral Consequences of the Agenda 2010. Socio-Economic Review, 15(1):117-134.

Abstract

We address the electoral consequences of profound welfare state reforms taking the German Agenda 2010 as an exemplary case. The Agenda is usually perceived as having developed into an electoral disaster for the German Social Democrats (SPD). In this article, we focus on the electoral reactions of directly affected labor market groups in four elections from 1998 to 2009. We combine detailed meso-level information on the regional socio-economic structure with official elections results. Our findings indicate that the electoral effects of the reform on the group of ‘Agenda losers’ were limited, while the effect on the German party system and its coalition dynamics are more permanent as the reform helped to entrench a party left to the SPD in the German party system.

Abstract

We address the electoral consequences of profound welfare state reforms taking the German Agenda 2010 as an exemplary case. The Agenda is usually perceived as having developed into an electoral disaster for the German Social Democrats (SPD). In this article, we focus on the electoral reactions of directly affected labor market groups in four elections from 1998 to 2009. We combine detailed meso-level information on the regional socio-economic structure with official elections results. Our findings indicate that the electoral effects of the reform on the group of ‘Agenda losers’ were limited, while the effect on the German party system and its coalition dynamics are more permanent as the reform helped to entrench a party left to the SPD in the German party system.

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Additional indexing

Item Type:Journal Article, refereed, original work
Communities & Collections:06 Faculty of Arts > Institute of Political Science
Dewey Decimal Classification:320 Political science
Uncontrolled Keywords:labor market reform, political parties, political economy, electoral behavior, unemployment, Germany, I health, education, and welfare
Language:English
Date:2017
Deposited On:13 Apr 2017 06:10
Last Modified:25 Apr 2018 07:09
Publisher:Oxford University Press
ISSN:1475-1461
OA Status:Green
Publisher DOI:https://doi.org/10.1093/ser/mww011

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