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Coping with a fast-changing world: towards new systems of future-oriented technology analysis


Weber, K Matthias; Harper, Jennifer Cassingena; Könnölä, Totti; Carabias Barcelo, Vicente (2012). Coping with a fast-changing world: towards new systems of future-oriented technology analysis. Science and Public Policy, 39(2):153-165.

Abstract

Transformations linked to disruptive events are causing a shift in future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) activities from individual large-scale foresight actions to smaller in-house exercises and capacity building. The reasons are manifold relating to the need for an even tighter embedding of FTA in policy-making in a fast-changing complex environment as well as to internal drivers for novel forms of future intelligence to support coordinated and coherent decisions within and across organisations. This paper identifies three ideal types: external FTA services, the institutionalisation of FTA, and FTA networks, whilst recognising that in practice these types are complementary. In empirical terms this requires further investigation, in order to understand how different combinations of activities actually operate in their respective decision-making contexts. It is important to improve our understanding of how far institutionalised FTA can form part of customised solutions for building capacity to handle disruptions

Abstract

Transformations linked to disruptive events are causing a shift in future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) activities from individual large-scale foresight actions to smaller in-house exercises and capacity building. The reasons are manifold relating to the need for an even tighter embedding of FTA in policy-making in a fast-changing complex environment as well as to internal drivers for novel forms of future intelligence to support coordinated and coherent decisions within and across organisations. This paper identifies three ideal types: external FTA services, the institutionalisation of FTA, and FTA networks, whilst recognising that in practice these types are complementary. In empirical terms this requires further investigation, in order to understand how different combinations of activities actually operate in their respective decision-making contexts. It is important to improve our understanding of how far institutionalised FTA can form part of customised solutions for building capacity to handle disruptions

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Item Type:Journal Article, refereed, original work
Communities & Collections:National licences > 142-005
Dewey Decimal Classification:Unspecified
Scopus Subject Areas:Social Sciences & Humanities > Geography, Planning and Development
Social Sciences & Humanities > Public Administration
Physical Sciences > Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
Language:English
Date:1 March 2012
Deposited On:19 Nov 2018 18:22
Last Modified:31 Jul 2020 02:30
Publisher:Beech Tree Publishing
ISSN:0302-3427
OA Status:Green
Publisher DOI:https://doi.org/10.1093/scipol/scs012
Related URLs:https://www.swissbib.ch/Search/Results?lookfor=nationallicenceoxford101093scipolscs012 (Library Catalogue)

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