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The advantage of scoring just before the halftime break – pure myth? Quasi-experimental evidence from European football


Meier, Philippe; Flepp, Raphael; Rüdisser, Maximilian Valentin; Franck, E (2019). The advantage of scoring just before the halftime break – pure myth? Quasi-experimental evidence from European football. UZH Business Working Paper Series 382, University of Zurich.

Abstract

We examine whether the moment just before the halftime break is a particularly good time to score a goal. Using detailed data from the top five European football leagues between the 2013/14 and 2017/18 seasons, we exploit the quasi-random occurrence of goals scored just before and just after the halftime break. In the former situation, the game is exogenously inter-rupted by a break immediately after the goal, whereas in the latter situation, the game continues without interruption. We show that in the case of a goal being scored just before halftime, the scoring team benefits more from the halftime break than the conceding team.

Abstract

We examine whether the moment just before the halftime break is a particularly good time to score a goal. Using detailed data from the top five European football leagues between the 2013/14 and 2017/18 seasons, we exploit the quasi-random occurrence of goals scored just before and just after the halftime break. In the former situation, the game is exogenously inter-rupted by a break immediately after the goal, whereas in the latter situation, the game continues without interruption. We show that in the case of a goal being scored just before halftime, the scoring team benefits more from the halftime break than the conceding team.

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Additional indexing

Item Type:Working Paper
Communities & Collections:03 Faculty of Economics > Department of Business Administration
Dewey Decimal Classification:330 Economics
Language:English
Date:30 August 2019
Deposited On:10 Sep 2019 15:20
Last Modified:25 Sep 2019 00:45
Series Name:UZH Business Working Paper Series
Number of Pages:29
ISSN:2296-0422
OA Status:Green
Other Identification Number:merlin-id:18173

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