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EU‐27 public opinion on Brexit


Walter, Stefanie (2020). EU‐27 public opinion on Brexit. Journal of Common Market Studies:Epub ahead of print7.

Abstract

Although there has been much interest in British public opinion on Brexit, much less is known about how EU‐27 Europeans view the Brexit negotiations. This is surprising, because Brexit confronts the EU‐27 with difficult choices. Whereas accommodating the UK carries the risk of encouraging further countriesto leave the EU, an uncompromising negotiation stance increases the economic and social costs of Brexit. Using original survey data from 39,000 respondents in all EU‐27 countries collected between the start of the Brexit negotiations and December 2018, this article shows that exposure to the economic risks of Brexit makes respondents more willing to accommodate the UK, whereas a positive opinion of the EU decreases their willingness to compromise. Moreover, many Europeans face an accommodation dilemma that moderates these preferences. Overall, the EU‐27 public unsentimentally supports a Brexit negotiation line that safeguards their own interests best.

Abstract

Although there has been much interest in British public opinion on Brexit, much less is known about how EU‐27 Europeans view the Brexit negotiations. This is surprising, because Brexit confronts the EU‐27 with difficult choices. Whereas accommodating the UK carries the risk of encouraging further countriesto leave the EU, an uncompromising negotiation stance increases the economic and social costs of Brexit. Using original survey data from 39,000 respondents in all EU‐27 countries collected between the start of the Brexit negotiations and December 2018, this article shows that exposure to the economic risks of Brexit makes respondents more willing to accommodate the UK, whereas a positive opinion of the EU decreases their willingness to compromise. Moreover, many Europeans face an accommodation dilemma that moderates these preferences. Overall, the EU‐27 public unsentimentally supports a Brexit negotiation line that safeguards their own interests best.

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Additional indexing

Item Type:Journal Article, refereed, original work
Communities & Collections:06 Faculty of Arts > Institute of Political Science
Dewey Decimal Classification:320 Political science
Scopus Subject Areas:Social Sciences & Humanities > Business and International Management
Social Sciences & Humanities > General Business, Management and Accounting
Social Sciences & Humanities > Economics and Econometrics
Social Sciences & Humanities > Political Science and International Relations
Uncontrolled Keywords:political science and international relations, economics and econometrics, general business, management and accounting, business and international management Brexit, public opinion, international negotiations, Eu-27, negotiation preferences
Language:English
Date:2020
Deposited On:21 Jan 2021 13:13
Last Modified:22 Jan 2021 21:02
Publisher:Wiley-Blackwell Publishing, Inc.
ISSN:1468-5965
OA Status:Closed
Publisher DOI:https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.13107
Project Information:
  • : FunderH2020
  • : Grant ID817582
  • : Project TitleDISINTEGRATION - The Mass Politics of Disintegration

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Language: English
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Embargo till: 2022-09-08