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Big data analytics, order imbalance and the predictability of stock returns

Akyildirim, Erdinc; Sensoy, Ahmet; Gulay, Guzhan; Corbet, Shaen; Salari, Hajar Novin (2021). Big data analytics, order imbalance and the predictability of stock returns. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 62:100717.

Abstract

Financial institutions have adopted big data to a considerable extent to provide better investment decisions. Consequently, high-frequency algorithmic traders use a vast amount of historical data with various statistical models to maximize their trading profits. Until recently, high-frequency algorithmic trading was the domain of institutional traders with access to supercomputers. Nowadays, any investor can potentially make high-frequency trades because of easy access to big data and software to analyze and execute trades. With that in mind, Borsa Istanbul introduced real time big data analytics as a product to its customers. These analytics are derived in real time from order book and trade data and aim to level the playing field between investment firms and retail traders. Using classical benchmark models in the literature, we show that Borsa Istanbul’s order imbalance-based data analytics are useful in predicting both time-series and cross-sectional intraday excess future returns, proving that this product is extremely beneficial to market participants, particularly day traders.

Additional indexing

Item Type:Journal Article, refereed, original work
Communities & Collections:03 Faculty of Economics > Department of Finance
Dewey Decimal Classification:330 Economics
Scopus Subject Areas:Social Sciences & Humanities > Finance
Social Sciences & Humanities > Economics and Econometrics
Scope:Discipline-based scholarship (basic research)
Language:English
Date:December 2021
Deposited On:28 Jan 2022 06:17
Last Modified:17 Dec 2024 04:42
Publisher:Elsevier
ISSN:1042-444X
OA Status:Closed
Publisher DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mulfin.2021.100717
Official URL:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mulfin.2021.100717
Other Identification Number:merlin-id:21946
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