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Low risk, high variability: practical guide for portfolio construction

Cirulli, Antonello; De Nard, Gianluca; Traut, Joshua; Walker, Patrick (2025). Low risk, high variability: practical guide for portfolio construction. Working paper series / Department of Economics 463, University of Zurich.

Abstract

The low-risk anomaly challenges traditional financial theory by stating that less volatile stocks generate higher risk-adjusted returns. This paper explores how various portfolio construction choices influence the performance of low-risk portfolios. We show that methodological decisions critically influence portfolio outcomes, causing substantial dispersion in performance metrics across weighting schemes and risk estimators. This can only be marginally mitigated by incorporating constraints such as short-sale restrictions and size or price filters. Our analysis reveals that volatility-based estimators yield the most favorable performance distribution, outperforming beta-based approaches. Transaction costs are found to significantly affect performance and are vitally important in identifying the most attractive portfolios, highlighting the importance of realistic implementation constraints. Through rigorous empirical analysis, this study bridges the gap between theoretical insights and practical applications, offering actionable guidance to investors. The findings advocate for a cautious approach to nonstandard errors in portfolio modeling and emphasize the necessity of robust strategies in low-risk investing.

Additional indexing

Item Type:Working Paper
Communities & Collections:03 Faculty of Economics > Department of Economics
Working Paper Series > Department of Economics
Dewey Decimal Classification:330 Economics
JEL Classification:C52, G11, G12, G15, G17
Uncontrolled Keywords:Low-risk investing, methodology, nonstandard errors, portfolio construction
Scope:Discipline-based scholarship (basic research)
Language:English
Date:January 2025
Deposited On:21 Jan 2025 07:37
Last Modified:21 Jan 2025 08:21
Series Name:Working paper series / Department of Economics
Number of Pages:59
ISSN:1664-7041
OA Status:Green
Related URLs:https://www.econ.uzh.ch/en/research/workingpapers.html
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