Publication:

Self-serving biases in beliefs about collective outcomes

Date

Date

Date
2021
Working Paper

Citations

Citation copied

Kogan, S., Schneider, F. H., & Weber, R. A. (2021). Self-serving biases in beliefs about collective outcomes (No. 379; Working Paper Series / Department of Economics).

Abstract

Abstract

Abstract

Beliefs about collective outcomes, such as economic growth or firm profitability, play an important role in many contexts. We study biases in the formation of such beliefs. Specifically, we explore whether over-optimism and self-serving biases in information processing—documented for beliefs about individual outcomes—affect beliefs about collective outcomes. We find that people indeed exhibit self-serving biases for collective outcomes, and that such biases are similar to biases for individual outcomes. In addition, we investigate whe

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6 since deposited on 2021-03-12
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Acq. date: 2025-11-13

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Additional indexing

Creators (Authors)

Series Name

Series Name

Series Name
Working paper series / Department of Economics

Institution

Institution

Institution

Item Type

Item Type

Item Type
Working Paper

Dewey Decimal Classifikation

Dewey Decimal Classifikation

Dewey Decimal Classifikation

JEL Classification

JEL Classification

JEL Classification
I18
C93
Z13

Keywords

Beliefs, Bayes’ rule, asymmetric updating, overconfidence, motivated reasoning

Scope

Scope

Scope
Discipline-based scholarship (basic research)

Language

Language

Language
English

Publication date

Publication date

Publication date
2021-03

Date available

Date available

Date available
2021-03-12

Number of pages

Number of pages

Number of pages
65

ISSN or e-ISSN

ISSN or e-ISSN

ISSN or e-ISSN
1664-705X

OA Status

OA Status

OA Status
Green

Other Identification Number

Other Identification Number

Other Identification Number
merlin-id:20863

Metrics

Downloads

6 since deposited on 2021-03-12
4last week
Acq. date: 2025-11-13

Views

1 since deposited on 2021-03-12
Acq. date: 2025-11-13

Citations

Citations

Citation copied

Kogan, S., Schneider, F. H., & Weber, R. A. (2021). Self-serving biases in beliefs about collective outcomes (No. 379; Working Paper Series / Department of Economics).

Green Open Access
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